At a time when different elements of the nation are reporting day by day Covid case counts in double digits, Kerala has been persistently clocking over 10,000 instances on a regular basis.
The southern state, which has been lauded prior to now for its finest practices in Covid administration, is now contributing about 40 per cent of constructive instances within the nation day by day.
In the week that ended Sunday, Kerala reported 1,10,593 instances with a mean positivity price of 11 per cent.
Student chief Eric Stephen went on protest quick for eight days in Thiruvananthapuram to protest APJ Abdul Kalam Technical University’s choice to carry offline exams for about 2.5 lakh college students. Over 35 college students are reported to have examined constructive after the exams.
“Test positivity price is excessive and rising… Many college students examined constructive attributable to this and I blame the chief minister’s administration for this,” he stated. “They need to present all the things is regular, so they’re insisting on offline exams whereas the state of affairs is way from that.”
Though the state is vaccinating at a price a lot quicker than the remainder of the nation, its sero-positivity determine is decrease.
About 20.9 per cent of the 18 + inhabitants in Kerala has obtained each photographs of the Covid vaccine, a lot greater than the nationwide common of 9.9 per cent. The fourth ICMR sero-survey, nonetheless, reveals that solely 42.7 per cent of the state’s inhabitants has antibodies — the nationwide common is 67.6 per cent.
Health economist Rijo M John has an evidence. “Kerala nonetheless has a bigger % of popn unexposed to the virus in comparison with India. This could also be attributable to comparatively higher compliance with masking & social distancing regardless of excessive inhabitants density,” he tweeted.
Dr Santosh Kumar, Deputy Superintendent of Government Medical College, Thiruvananthapuram, says it’s maybe time to take a look at a brand new composite index to know the place we’re within the pandemic.
“TPR has been between 10-12 for the final 6 weeks, on a regular basis, 10,000-15000 instances, step by step growing. Total instances over one lakh. But hospitalisation… for instance, in Thiruvananthapuram medical faculty, it was 800-1000 however now it has decreased to 250-300. This is a major lower.”
“If you see occupancy of beds throughout Kerala, lower than 50 per cent. ventilator 50 per cent, ICU additionally 50 per cent occupancy. What we really feel is the impact of vaccination is displaying. So extra sufferers are in domiciliary care than is hospitals. ”
Kerala Health Minister Veena George informed NDTV that the Covid numbers the state is reporting just isn’t surprising.
She stated the same development was seen within the first wave too and termed the phenomenon “dragging the wave”.
“The second wave began in our state by the center of April. We had our peak on May 12 — that was round 43,000 instances on a single day. It was fairly anticipated in our technique. We have at all times tried to maintain the variety of instances beneath the state’s healthcare capability threshold…We tried to delay the height and now we are attempting to pull the curve,” she stated.
The well being minister identified particular challenges in Kerala like excessive density of inhabitants — virtually double the nationwide common –, big proportion of senior residents and excessive price of diabetes.
The fear although is that extra transmission, even when not too many instances grow to be extreme, might result in extra variants. So specialists say extra genomic surveillance is critical.